◆ How It Works

The AI Dominance Monitor tracks how far AI has penetrated the world across four dimensions: Labor, Military, Government, and Media. It runs a full assessment cycle daily at 10 AM EST.

Step 1 — Live Signal Collection

Each cycle fetches real-time data from three public APIs in parallel:

• GitHub — count of AI/ML repositories with active pushes in the last 30 days, used as a development pressure indicator.
• HuggingFace — new text-generation model releases in the last 30 days, a direct AI capability proliferation metric.
• Wikipedia — monthly page views on the Artificial Intelligence and AGI articles, tracking public awareness trends.

Step 2 — Targeted Web Searches

Claude Sonnet runs 5 targeted searches specifically designed to find confirmed events that would move a threat score — not general AI news. Each search maps directly to one dimension:

• Jobs — confirmed layoffs explicitly attributed to AI at named employers, with specific numbers.
• Military — confirmed autonomous weapons deployments or combat use in active conflicts.
• Government — confirmed surveillance AI deployments or legislation passed expanding AI powers.
• Media — confirmed deepfake incidents or documented AI influence operations with real reach metrics.
• Capability — confirmed AI benchmark records or capability breakthroughs from primary sources.

Step 3 — Evidence Classification

Before scoring anything, every search result is classified as a Confirmed Event, Data Point, Projection, or Commentary. Only Confirmed Events and Data Points move scores. Projections get minimal weight. Commentary is ignored entirely — a headline saying “AI could displace millions” has zero effect on the jobs score.

Step 4 — Calibrated Scoring

Scores are anchored to defined real-world benchmarks at each level. A score of 50 means AI is a significant factor but humans retain dominant control. A score of 75 means AI is deeply embedded and operating at scale with frequent human bypass. A score of 90 means near-total AI dominance in that dimension. If nothing significant was confirmed this cycle, scores stay close to the previous cycle — upward drift without evidence is treated as a bias failure, not analysis.

Probability Gauges

Each gauge answers a specific, measurable question with a defined threshold:

• AGI Arrival — probability that a publicly deployed AI system performs at or above median human level across the majority of economically valuable cognitive tasks before 2030. Anchored to current benchmark trajectory and expert consensus (calibrated range: 10–40%).
• Existential Risk — probability that AI causes death or permanent incapacitation of more than 1 billion people before 2100. Held low unless a specific confirmed catastrophic pathway is identified.
• Mass Unemployment — probability that any G7 economy sees net AI-driven job loss exceeding 10% of its workforce within 10 years. Anchored to current BLS data and confirmed displacement research.

Intelligence Feed

Headlines are filtered to credibly reported events from named outlets only — not opinion pieces or projections.

Assessments refresh every 6 hours. This tool is for informational and educational purposes only. All scores are AI-generated estimates, not verified intelligence or predictions.

◆ Terms of Use

Last updated: April 2026

1. Informational Purpose

The AI Dominance Monitor is provided for informational and educational purposes only. All scores, probability estimates, threat assessments, and narratives are generated by artificial intelligence and should not be treated as factual predictions, investment advice, or actionable intelligence.

2. No Warranties

This tool is provided “as is” without warranties of any kind. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, reliability, or timeliness of any data displayed. AI-generated content may contain errors, hallucinations, or outdated information.

3. Data Sources

The Monitor aggregates data from third-party public APIs (GitHub, HuggingFace, Wikimedia) and AI-powered web searches via Anthropic’s API. We are not responsible for the accuracy or availability of these external sources. This site is hosted on Cloudflare Pages; by using this site you are also subject to Cloudflare’s Terms of Service.

4. Limitation of Liability

In no event shall the creators be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from your use of this tool. You use it at your own risk.

5. Acceptable Use

You agree not to use this tool for any unlawful purpose, to make financial or military decisions, or to represent AI-generated assessments as authoritative intelligence.

6. Changes

We reserve the right to modify these terms at any time. Continued use constitutes acceptance.

◆ Privacy Policy

Last updated: April 2026

Infrastructure & Cloudflare

This site is hosted on Cloudflare Pages. As your CDN and infrastructure provider, Cloudflare processes every request to this site at the network edge. This means Cloudflare handles standard server-side data including IP addresses, user agent strings, request URLs, and timestamps. This is inherent to how web hosting works and is not unique to Cloudflare. Cloudflare may also provide aggregate, privacy-first Web Analytics (page views, countries, device types, referrers) without cookies or individual user tracking. Cloudflare does not sell personal data. See Cloudflare’s Privacy Policy for full details.

What We Collect

Beyond what Cloudflare processes as infrastructure provider, we collect nothing. The Monitor itself sets no cookies, uses no additional analytics, and does not track, store, or transmit any personal information about visitors.

Local Storage

Assessment history and display state may be cached in your browser’s localStorage to improve load times. This data never leaves your device and contains no personal information.

External Requests

When the assessment refreshes server-side, the backend connects to: Anthropic API (AI analysis), GitHub API, HuggingFace API, Wikimedia API, and jsDelivr CDN (map data). Your browser directly requests map data from jsDelivr on load. Each service has its own privacy policy.

Cookies

The Monitor does not set any cookies. Cloudflare may set functional security cookies (e.g. __cf_bm) as part of its infrastructure services. These are essential for security and do not track you for advertising purposes.